The 2025 Economy and Opportunities for 2026
By José Medina Mora
Chairman of the Consejo Coordinador Empresarial
The close of 2025 offered a clear snapshot of Mexico’s economic moment: moderate growth, mixed signals, and an international landscape shaped by mounting geopolitical tensions. Expansion of just 0.7% confirms a pace well below expectations — and compels a closer examination of the factors that will determine the country’s trajectory in the years ahead.
At the same time, several indicators reveal strengths worth acknowledging. Exports reached a new all-time high, surpassing $664 billion, while Foreign Direct Investment maintained a significant flow throughout the year, with more than $41 billion recorded through September. These figures demonstrate that, even amid a complex environment, Mexico retains a strategic position within the global economic landscape.
The challenge heading into 2026 will be converting those strengths into sustained growth. The renegotiation of the USMCA, the consolidation of nearshoring frameworks, and renewed momentum behind infrastructure and energy projects will open decisive opportunities to attract productive investment.
The opportunities exist. The challenge lies in creating the conditions to seize them fully.
Discover in the latest edition of Elite Business the scenarios that could define the country’s economic direction throughout 2026.
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